Robert Lehmann

I am a German economist and CESifo Affiliate with business cycle forecasting as my main research topic. After finishing my Doctoral Thesis (Dr. rer. pol., German PhD equivalent) in 2015, I am currently working as a Post-Doc Researcher at the ifo Institute in Munich.


Besides doing research on questions concerning economic forecasting, I am interested in macroeconomics, political economy and migration. From a methodological point of view, I am familiar with time series analysis, spatial and panel econometrics.


With my website I want to keep you informed on my future, current and past research. If you are interested in my research or in cooperations, please feel free to contact me.



New article "The Regional and Sectoral Importance of the German Mittelstand" (together with M. Berlemann and V. Jahn) available here.


The paper "Forecasting GDP all over the World Using Leading Indicators based on Comprehensive Survey Data" (together with J. Garnitz and K. Wohlrabe) has been accepted for publication in Applied Economics.


New German speaking article "Understanding regional business cycles with the ifo Business Survey" (together with F. Leiss, S. Litsche, St. Sauer, M. Weber, A. Weichselberger and K. Wohlrabe) available here.


New German speaking article "How is the German 'Mittelstand' distributed across space? Evidence from business survey results" (together with M. Berlemann and V. Jahn) available here.


New Working Paper "The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution" (together with T. Wollmershäuser) available here.


The paper "Explaining Spatial Patterns of Foreign Employment in Germany"

(together with W. Nagl) has been accepted for publication in Regional Studies.


New German speaking article "Do Politicians Influence the Results of National Tax Estimates?" (together with B. Jochimsen) available here.


New German speaking article "The ifo Import Climate - a first leading indicator to forecasting German imports" (together with Chr. Grimme and M. Noeller) available here.


New Working Paper "Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad"

(together with Chr. Grimme and M. Noeller) available here.


New German speaking book "Brexit and its Economic Consequences for the German State of Hesse" (together with G. Felbermayr and M. Steininger) available here.


New German speaking article "Import-adjusted demand side components of German GDP" (together with T. Wollmershäuser) available here.


The paper "An Elo ranking for Economics Journals" (together with K. Wohlrabe) has been accepted for publication in the Economics Bulletin.